Saudi Aramco intrinsic value and dividend analysis using DCF, P/B, PEG and PSG models. Includes dividend yield, payout ratio, and dividend sustainability assessment. Sector: Energy. Listed on Saudi Exchange Tadawul.
Saudi Arabian Oil Company (Saudi Aramco) is an integrated energy and chemicals company operating across upstream exploration and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids, and downstream refining, petrochemicals, and retail distribution. Its downstream operations produce a wide range of chemicals, polymers, and lubricants, alongside crude oil trading, pipeline transport, and power generation activities. Founded in 1933, it is headquartered in Dhahran.
TASIV estimates this company's intrinsic value using a DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) model. As of TASIV's most recent data refresh, the estimated intrinsic value is SAR 39.29 compared to a market price of SAR 26.14 (Trading below DCF model value). This is an analytical estimate, not investment advice.
Revenue declined by about 10% over the three-year period, while net income declined faster, down about 23%, indicating that profitability weakened more than sales. Operating cash flow declined by only about 5% over the same period, a smaller decline than either revenue or net income. Overall, the company's historical financial performance shows a gradual decline in revenue and profitability, with cash generation declining by comparatively less.
Dividend per share fluctuated over the 5-year recorded period, ranging between SAR 1.018 and SAR 1.926, and ended at SAR 1.018 versus SAR 1.311 at the start. Payments have been made on a Quarterly basis throughout this period. Overall, the company's per-share dividend has varied year to year without a consistent direction. Current dividend yield is approximately 5.07%, with a payout ratio of approximately 92.12%.
TASIV's Competitive Advantage assessment for this company is High (80/100), based on profitability, predictability, financial strength, and growth resilience.
Based on TASIV's DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) model, the estimated intrinsic value of Saudi Aramco is approximately SAR 39.29, compared to a current market price of SAR 26.14. This is an analytical estimate based on the company's financial data, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell.
According to TASIV's model, Saudi Aramco is currently "Trading below DCF model value".
Saudi Aramco's dividend yield is approximately 5.07%, with a payout ratio of approximately 92.12%, based on TASIV's most recent verified data.
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